2024 Wisconsin Elections: Key Races Six Months Out

Wednesday, May 08, 2024 12:12 PM | WiSCA (Administrator)

As the election season ramps up, so too does the frequency of polling in the state.  With Wisconsin positioned to be a national battleground, November will yield competitive statewide races for President and US Senate.

See the latest Marquette Poll of Wisconsin voters, published April 17, here. The poll found that the statewide races are close, with Donald Trump leading Joe Biden 51-49 and Tammy Baldwin leading Eric Hovde 52-47 percent among registered voters. A recent CBS News poll of registered voters found Trump leading Biden 50-49 and Baldwin leading Hovde 48-41. An Emerson College poll of swing state voters published yesterday found Trump ahead of Biden by two points in Wisconsin, 47-45, with eight percent undecided.

Democrat incumbent Tammy Baldwin is seeking a third term in the U.S. Senate and while Wisconsin is considered a swing state, Baldwin has outperformed fellow Democrats in rural areas in previous races. She has already raised and spent millions on early advertising and finished the first quarter of the year with more than $10 million cash on hand.

Republican challenger Eric Hovde is a businessman from Madison with experience in real estate and financial services. He officially entered the race in February with the backing of the National Republican Senatorial Committee and has since received Donald Trump’s endorsement. So far, Hovde has self-funded his campaign to the tune of $8 million.

Republicans may have caught a break if they can avoid a primary and focus all their attention on Baldwin.  Fellow Republican businessman Scott Mayer opted not to enter the race out of a desire to avoid a primary election while former Milwaukee County Sheriff David Clarke has also been discussed as a possible candidate, although the later it gets the less likely he would be to jump in.  

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